After a rough week in Washington, the Packers return home to Lambeau Field Sunday to face the Buffalo Bills with a a chance to get to 2-1-1 in this young season. And they have something to prove after laying an egg in the nation’s capital. On the other side, the Bills are coming off one of their best weeks in a long time, dismantling the Vikings for their first win of the Josh Allen era.
Mike McCarthy, Mike Pettine, and company are looking for a bounceback week in every aspect, from execution of the plays to properly getting loose to avoid soft tissue injuries. This is one of the best weeks to do it, with Buffalo viewed as a below average team, last week notwithstanding.
And with the game just a day away, here are three bold predictions for the game itself, and a score prediction for the Packers and the Bills
Packers will go Plus-Three in the turnover battle
After getting another interception from Ha Ha Clinton-Dix against Washington, the Packers defense is looking for more against a rookie quarterback with below average weapons around him. Josh Allen relied on a smart gameplan last week against Minnesota with a lot of quick passes against a Vikings defense that has struggled with physical play on the boundary so far.
If the Packers can play press coverage on the outside, especially if Kevin King can return to the lineup, then Allen may have to hold onto the ball longer, leading to some late and/or forced throws. Throw in the return of Lesean McCoy to the backfield and ball security is a big risk for the Bills. McCoy is still dealing with a rib injury and has never been exactly known for his security with his running style. The opportunities will be there for the Packers, and Mike Pettine’s group will finally get multiple turnovers.
Jimmy Graham will score two touchdowns
While Mike McCarthy has been gameplanning to get Graham touches in the passing game, and he should have one touchdown already as a Packer, he’ll finally be able to get into the endzone against Buffalo, and he’ll do it twice. Depending on how coach Sean McDermott decides to matchup with Graham, he’ll either be facing a rookie linebacker in Trumaine Edmunds, or a couple undersized safeties in Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde. As good as those two safeties are in coverage, they have a significant disadvantage going against the size of Graham.
Aaron Jones will run for over 100 yards.
Aaron Jones looked great in his first action last week, running for seven yard per carry and showing the burst to be the best home run threat out of the Green Bay backfield since Ahman Green. And he drew praise from his quarterback this week, as Aaron Rodgers stated in a locker room interview that he would like to see Jones out there more.
I have no reason to believe that McCarthy will go against his quarterback’s wishes, for better or worse, and that’ll help Jones for the better. He’ll get 15 carries at least in this game to slow down the Bills pass rush, and it’ll lead to him hitting the century mark in the game.
Game Prediction: After a brutal Week 3, the Packers rebound with a big win over the Bills to get to 2-1-1. They win 37-17.——————
Mike Wendlandt is originally from Iola, Wisconsin and graduated from Drake University in 2015 with a degree in History. With a significant journalism background both in writing and broadcasting, Mike can be heard as the play-by-play voice of Central Wisconsin High School sports on WDUX FM 92.7 and on Twitter @MikeWendlandt.
Mike Wendlandt is a writer covering the Green Bay Packers for PackersTalk.com.